Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.221729 0.257996 0.298399 0.346764 0.403118 0.466747 0.544103
2025-02-23 0.161803 0.208885 0.267063 0.344327 0.444418 0.569942 0.739727
2025-03-02 0.127156 0.176250 0.241374 0.334263 0.463707 0.638257 0.892486
2025-03-09 0.110055 0.161658 0.234194 0.343882 0.506177 0.738469 1.098079
2025-03-16 0.095140 0.146905 0.223394 0.345048 0.534620 0.820333 1.286705
2025-03-23 0.084809 0.136927 0.217449 0.351442 0.570172 0.915478 1.506642
2025-03-30 0.073767 0.124001 0.204806 0.344896 0.583423 0.976188 1.678420
2025-04-06 0.065346 0.114017 0.195285 0.341629 0.600745 1.044431 1.870383
2025-04-13 0.059002 0.106601 0.188907 0.342489 0.624584 1.125703 2.094691
2025-04-20 0.055797 0.104216 0.190772 0.357866 0.675731 1.260588 2.433402
2025-04-27 0.052502 0.101191 0.191010 0.370072 0.722213 1.392104 2.782686
2025-05-04 0.049313 0.097923 0.190323 0.380257 0.765802 1.522939 3.147408
2025-05-11 0.045549 0.093172 0.186433 0.384076 0.798139 1.637500 3.498811
2025-05-18 0.041504 0.087370 0.179812 0.381594 0.817464 1.728658 3.815085
2025-05-25 0.037111 0.080277 0.169689 0.370418 0.816821 1.777793 4.046495
2025-06-01 0.035201 0.078222 0.169773 0.381096 0.864808 1.936793 4.545525
2025-06-08 0.032686 0.074519 0.165867 0.382390 0.891854 2.052717 4.961007
2025-06-15 0.030872 0.072161 0.164611 0.389488 0.933015 2.205535 5.485333
2025-06-22 0.028200 0.067494 0.157598 0.382221 0.939187 2.277261 5.820570
2025-06-29 0.026044 0.063791 0.152382 0.378595 0.953689 2.370631 6.223465
2025-07-06 0.024380 0.061079 0.149194 0.379549 0.979700 2.495475 6.725736
2025-07-13 0.023786 0.060954 0.152251 0.396619 1.049117 2.738595 7.578536
2025-07-20 0.023013 0.060281 0.153869 0.410170 1.111065 2.970260 8.433682